Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008184 0.009220 0.010356 0.011697 0.013239 0.014963 0.017042
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006377 0.007734 0.009353 0.011437 0.014070 0.017308 0.021632
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005578 0.007102 0.009026 0.011656 0.015198 0.019863 0.026566
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004928 0.006521 0.008621 0.011634 0.015912 0.021869 0.030975
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004275 0.005833 0.007962 0.011139 0.015849 0.022722 0.033792
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003883 0.005449 0.007661 0.011082 0.016364 0.024421 0.038064
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003719 0.005364 0.007763 0.011610 0.017795 0.027660 0.045244
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003343 0.004927 0.007296 0.011202 0.017688 0.028413 0.048344
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003049 0.004583 0.006933 0.010913 0.017725 0.029381 0.051933
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002858 0.004381 0.006770 0.010925 0.018257 0.031249 0.057440
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002784 0.004356 0.006884 0.011405 0.019651 0.034820 0.066803
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002607 0.004149 0.006679 0.011308 0.019986 0.036457 0.072525
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002466 0.003996 0.006561 0.011376 0.020673 0.038940 0.080662
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002287 0.003765 0.006291 0.011141 0.020758 0.040248 0.086509
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002195 0.003677 0.006263 0.011352 0.021743 0.043544 0.097570
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002077 0.003534 0.006124 0.011331 0.022248 0.045882 0.106801
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001908 0.003285 0.005769 0.010851 0.021729 0.045874 0.110111
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001809 0.003158 0.005633 0.010795 0.022118 0.047987 0.119421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001789 0.003174 0.005767 0.011308 0.023824 0.053460 0.139164
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001663 0.002981 0.005483 0.010912 0.023411 0.053710 0.144046
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001560 0.002827 0.005262 0.010631 0.023236 0.054534 0.150838
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001496 0.002744 0.005178 0.010643 0.023761 0.057241 0.164090
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001482 0.002759 0.005293 0.011109 0.025455 0.063332 0.189831